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Weimar? Vhy Not?
Posted by Stephen Green  ·   1 March 2005

More glum news from Germany:

More than 5.2 million Germans were out of work in February, new figures show.

The figure of 5.216 million people, or 12.6% of the working-age population, is the highest jobless rate in Europe's biggest economy since the 1930s.

The news comes as the head of Germany's panel of government economic advisers predicted growth would again stagnate.

If that isn't bad enough, GDP growth this year isn't expected to exceed 1%.

Comments

And everybody thinks that the dollar is down against the euro because of our failures. I would like to suggest that it is the other way round, and they would rather have our problems.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at March 1, 2005 11:10 AM

A return to the Hindenburg economy?

(yeah, I'm proud of that one and not ashamed to admit it. there's like, 3 or 4 meanings you can pull out of that sucker!)

Posted by: Mike M at March 1, 2005 11:10 AM

German economy has been stagnant at best the last 5 years. Which was why Schroeder got elected. A very reason for lower taxes; even with their very higly skilled work force they can not compete.

Posted by: Rod Stanton at March 1, 2005 11:12 AM

Yeah, but look at the bright side, they still get 4 weeks paid vacation a year! Makes you wonder what the unemployment rate really is, having to hire one extra employee for every twelve v. one for every 24 in the U.S. Is it any wonder that they are losing jobs?

Posted by: bullwinkle at March 1, 2005 11:23 AM

Can you say socialism at work? This is what you get when you have huge bureaucracy, limited free markets and onerous tax burdens. Oh, and loving David Hasslehoff “music” can’t be helping anything.

Posted by: Instapendent at March 1, 2005 11:39 AM

hmmm, and just think how their economy will react when chimpmonkeyhitlerbush and condi vavavoom rice pull even more troops out of there....heheheheh

wie sagst man "payback is a bitch" auf deutsch?

Posted by: Mr. Bingley at March 1, 2005 11:54 AM

There is one metric that most Americans dont consider in terms of unemployment. In the US, a persons statistical average period of unemployment is roughly 1 month for every 10k in salary or wages. In Europe, any time a person is unemploymed is generally marks the end of their careers.

European contries have extreme laws that require employers to give long periods of notice prior to any layoffs that may occur and long terms ( think "multi year times annual salary" here...). The net effect not only makes it more difficult for companies to restructure in recessions, but it makes it nearly impossible to justify hiring anyone when times are good.

The result? no firing, but not hiring either, making companies none-too-efficient, which in turn makes it harder for them to compete, which then tightens the death spiral.

So when you look at that 12% unemployment rate, look at it as if all the people you know who lost their jobs in 1979-80 stayed unemployed throught the boom-boom era. Now try to imagine how angry those people would feel at "the system".

Also try to remember that once-upon-a-time-not-so-long-ago, Germany was a budwieser clydesdale work horse of industrial productivity that many handwringing cassandras of leftist failure here in the US wondered how we were ever going to compete against them.

12% is bad. really, really bad. If you are in the US and unless you are older than 25, you've never seen anything like 12%.

Posted by: Frank Martin at March 1, 2005 12:24 PM

Older than 25?

Posted by: Julie at March 1, 2005 01:02 PM

France has an umemployment rate of about 10% and Germany 12%. What will they do? Herbert Hoover and Jimmy Carter economics, raise taxes, price controls, etc., or GASP! lower taxes and deregulate? This is Old Europe - socialism forever - blame the US deficit, trade policies, etc.

Posted by: dittybopper at March 1, 2005 02:15 PM

Excellent post Frank Martin! Another thing to look at in both Germany and France is youth unemployment. Since they are the ones entering the workforce -- in lands where firing a worker in very hard --
it is a good indictation of job creation. I can't remember the exact number for youth unemployment, but I remember it is hideously high.

Posted by: Ann at March 1, 2005 02:35 PM

Compare the US economic growth rate to the population growth rate and you will see the reason for the discrepacy between those countries.

Posted by: MRRHead at March 1, 2005 02:56 PM

Bullwinkle - AI think the min is five (5) weeks, I met an autoworker at the EnglishGarden who was on a 13 week vacation. He had 24 years with BMW and spoke better English than my German to boot. Handled his beer well also, I think.

Posted by: Rod Stanton at March 1, 2005 03:37 PM

Germany (and Europe in general) will whine about these macro-economic statistics - and then continue to vote themselves rich. Oh yeah, this is going to turn out well...

Posted by: Greg T. at March 1, 2005 04:37 PM

We didn't even hit 12% during the Carter 'malaise' years so this is pretty scary but this is what happens when the Socialists and Greens set economic policy.

Posted by: Steve at March 1, 2005 08:41 PM



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