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Professor Pangloss Speaking
Posted by Stephen Green · 27 February 2005
It's too soon to gloat, but I'm going to anyway. Many of the same people who said that the Iraq War was wrong, stupid, criminal, immoral, Hitlerian, whatever, also told us we just had to keep making deals with Arafat. (Or more accurately, pressuring the Israelis into doing so.) But look what's happening now that Ol' Liver Lips is dead. For starters, Israel is on the diplomatic offensive against Syria: Shalom and Major General Ze'evi will meet with ambassadors of the European Union countries and countries that currently serve on the United Nations Security Council to present the evidence that Syrian-based groups have been involved in multiple attacks, including the weekend bombing at a beachfront nightclub, which killed four people. Before Arafat's death, an Israeli diplomatic move could always be countered by a "but what abotu the Palestinians?" gambit. Today, however, the Palestinian Authority isn't just freely-elected, it's even taking sides against Syria: Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas angrily accused a "third party" on Saturday of sabotaging the Middle East peace process by orchestrating the suicide bombing on Friday night, as Israel threatened a resumption of targeted killings of militants. And: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas said he would not tolerate attacks such as last Friday's suicide bombing in Israel and reaffirmed his commitment to finding peace.
Meanwhile, don't think Syria isn't feeling the pressure, from Israel and elsewhere: A half-brother of former Iraq dictator Saddam Hussein has been captured with help from a Syrian government seeking to ward off accusation it is helping Iraqi militants. Now, we know Syria (along with that secular regime's allies in Tehran) has been aiding the Iraqi insurency. Yet they just sold out one of the biggest insurgents. Meanwhile, Egypt is promising free(er) elections, the Saudis are calling for a nuke ban, and even Tmo Friedman is sounding cautiously optimistic about the chances of real reform in the Arab world. Not one of these events would have been possible if Arafat or Saddam Hussein were still in power. President Bush decided that Arafat wasn't worth dealing with, and that future progress would have to wait for a freely-elected PA. President Bush decided that big changes in the Middle East weren't possible until Hussein was dealt with in the most serious way. It's still too soon to gloat - all of the progress we've seen still could slip away, if we retreat from our principles, from this fight. But looking at the news this week, it's become obvious that President Bush, and his neocon-warblogger-chickenhawk allies here in the blogosphere were right when we said that Arafat and Saddam had to go. Comments
You're absolutely right, Stephen, when you say that none of this would be possible if Saddam were still in power. But let's be even more explicit about it, huh? None of this would be possible if George W. Bush hadn't given the order to send a quarter-million US troops into Iraq, kill the Iraqi army and whomever tried to aid them, and capture or kill the thugs that comprised the Iraqi regime. Diplomacy is by far a better choice for resolving disputes than war. But diplomacy without the credible threat of war means nothing. An example had to be made. We didn't just pick Saddam at random, of course; we had plenty of legitimate casus belli. But make no mistake: it was the invasion itself that made serious diplomatic engagement with other states of concern — Libya, Syria, even Egypt — possible. Now if only Iran were listening. Posted by: Jeff Harrell at February 27, 2005 11:35 PMJust don't tell the status-quo based community. Posted by: Crank at February 28, 2005 11:22 AMAmazing, how the new "Arab Street" are now shouting for democracy and freedom, not for their feared dictators... Fact: George W Bush changed the world. Posted by: Aaron Hood at February 28, 2005 11:41 AM |
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