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Dhimmitude Or Diaspora?
Posted by Will Collier · 18 January 2005
Something's been bothering me since reading Christopher Caldwell's piece on the Netherlands in the wake of Theo van Gogh's murder. It's this bit: The question naturally arises: If immigrants behave this way now, what will happen when they are far more numerous, as all authorities have long promised they will be? It has been estimated that the country's two largest cities, Amsterdam and Rotterdam, will be "majority minority" very soon (Rotterdam is today at 47 percent), and already 65 percent of primary and secondary students in both cities are of non-Dutch parentage. London's Daily Telegraph, citing immigration experts and government statistics, reported a net outflow of 13,000 people from Holland in the first six months of 2004, the first such deficit in half a century. One must treat this statistic carefully--it could be an artifact of an aging population in which many are retiring to warmer places. But it could also be the beginning of something resembling the American suburban phenomenon of "white flight," occurring at the level of an entire country. What if a considerable fraction--even a large minority--of that 13,000 really are fleeing from Islamic radicalism? What happens 20 or 30 years from now, when demographic trends could well result in "minority-majority" (or even outright majority) status for the Islamic cohort in western Europe? If they're faced with the options of dhimmitude or flight, where will the native Europeans flee to? Why, here, of course. Lots will go to Canada, I would guess particularly the Scandinavians, and plenty more will go to Australia. But the majority will be drawn right here to the USA. After all, we've got more room, more money, more opportunities--and most importantly, we're the most able to protect our own. Not unlike their ancestors' cousins of past centuries, the majority of those who give up on Europe will come here. And then what? What will we do with them? More interestingly, what will they do to us? Will the 'blue states' fill up with UNphilic Euro-refugees and get bluer? Or will the refugees, haven been driven from their homes by radical Islam, lean more towards the 'red' Scots-Irish motto of nemo me impune lacessit? I don't have any idea. You don't, either. It's silly to even project current political trends in this country 20 years from now. In 1985, the South was still a province of the Democratic Party at virtually every level below the Presidency, and California was reliably Republican. Nobody really knows what the political maps will look like in 2025, much less how those maps might be impacted by a new wave of European immigrants. But somebody ought to start thinking about it, both here, and across the pond. Just in case Holland is the canary in Europe's coal mine. Comments
There's no "just in case" necessary... Holland is the canary, for sure. How odd to think of Rotterdam, with its perennially damp air and boxy 1950s architecture becoming an Islamic city. I can't think of a place less like the Middle East, but obviously the immigration is more a factor of the culture than the climate. Posted by: Joan at January 18, 2005 07:58 PMThey'll all become Scots-Irish. It's predestined. Posted by: The Parson at January 18, 2005 08:02 PMInteresting piece you've got there, Will. . . My first thought, though, was not about how exodus from an increasingly orthodox europe would affect the American political food chain, but about voting blocks in two of the worlds most prominent Nuclear powers-if über-orthodox muslims form a sizeable group and begin wielding their political power in Nuclear Britain and Nuclear France, we will have far more disconcerting items at hand than liberal Hollanders moving to Wisconsin. The Ghosts of the Muslim invasion of Europe that began in 711A.D. have come back to finish the job. . . Van Gogh's death will long be remembered as the opening barrage in what looks to be a long, drawn-out culture war. . . Posted by: Foster at January 18, 2005 08:08 PMDamn! My last post was DARK! I formally apologize for being a downer and offer this as tribute: http://www.scrappleface.com/MT/archives/002032.html Posted by: Foster at January 18, 2005 08:12 PMStephen, http://www.brothersjudd.com/blog/archives/019628.html Orrin's closing comment: Will, It is so hard to project 20 years in advance, but Pat Buchanon's book "Death of the West" a couple years ago forecast just this very problem, what is going to happen in a Arabized Europe? Between massive immigration, and a birthrate below replacement, Europe has it has been for hundreds of years will cease to exist by the middle of this century. It is very possible that many will make the trek over the Atlantic, and I would think, would not want to make the mistake they did in Europe. However, their children probably will. Posted by: Carl at January 18, 2005 09:57 PMI don't have any idea. You don't, either. I have an advantage you don't- my dad's side of the family are immigrants. Those not inclined to a Nemo me impune lacessit attitude will go elsewhere- Canada or New Zealand, most likely. Those who are, will come here. This is not new, it has been going on for some time. Kim Du Toit is only one example... Posted by: rosignol at January 18, 2005 10:25 PMIf they're faced with the options of dhimmitude or flight, where will the native Europeans flee to? Why, here, of course. Are we willing to give them all green cards? If not, that could put a hitch in their plans. The Atlantic's a lot harder to swim across than the Rio Grande. Posted by: Zebediah at January 18, 2005 10:32 PMThe French? Here? Anyone else think a "No Vacancy" sign hanging on Lady Liberty looks more and more attractive? ;) Posted by: Nick at January 19, 2005 07:22 AMThe stage was set during the 60's and 70's. Mullti-culturism and hyphenated-Americans replaced the melting pot and just plain Americans. Perhaps 30 or 40 years of Republican admdinistrations can reverse this unhappy state of affairs. My questions which I haven't seen asnwered anywhere is: Why are all these Muslims emigrating? Muslim countries are for the most part socialist theocracies. Why leave these paradaisical warm homelands for cold climes where there still are some vestiges of democracy and capitalism? Posted by: erp at January 19, 2005 08:20 AMThere are currently some 480 million citizens of European Union states. 15 million are Muslims. In the Netherlands 91% of the population is ethnic Dutch, Muslims 4%. Both assumptions are unlikely. Immigrant decendant birthrates almost always fall off from initial levels. Demographic takeover isn't the problem, short to medium-term anyhow. The best likely to be dropping multicultural nonsense, insisting upon assimilation, and draining the urban crime/welfare swamps. Why are all these Muslims emigrating? Most are fleeing the theocracies, but others are following along to try to keep the mullahs in control. I'd bet they think of it as "jihad by demographics." Posted by: McGehee at January 19, 2005 10:05 AMThe French? Here? Anyone else think a "No Vacancy" sign hanging on Lady Liberty looks more and more attractive? Oh, given that our culture tends to be so contagious, surely we have room for some of them. Posted by: Ash at January 19, 2005 10:21 AMI have blogged on this a lot this past week - and been linked to on it by chrenkoff, among others. Here're the links - Me on the new emigres leaving Europe: http://astuteblogger.blogspot.com/2005/01/eu-needs-thatcher-now.html Me on the islamification of France: http://astuteblogger.blogspot.com/2005/01/par-is-tanbul.html Me with more - much more - on the islamification of France: http://astuteblogger.blogspot.com/2005/01/mosque-de-notre-dame.html Posted by: reliapundit at January 19, 2005 03:20 PM |
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