John Zogby tries to cover his ass with an half-assed apology:
We feel strongly that our pre-election polls were accurate on virtually every state. Our predictions on many of the key battleground states like Ohio and Florida were within the margin of error. I thought we captured a trend, but apparently that result didn’t materialize.
We always saw a close race, and a close race is what we’ve got. I've called this the Armageddon Election for some time—a closely-divided electorate with high partisan intensity on each side.
Zogby, you called Colorado for Kerry, fer crissakes. My home state, where Bush won in a 7-point blow-out. You gave the popular vote to Bush by three-tenths of a point, when it was almost a whole three points. This, coming on the heels of your complete failure in the 2002 midterm elections.
I think we know who today's big loser is - and unlike you, at least Kerry conceded with grace.
Wow! Kick 'em while they are down...and keep on kicking!
I think some of the exit polls had Virginia tied, among other things. They took forever to call South Carolina and Montana.
I loved that Zogby was wrong. I do. I really do.
Maybe in the next election we will finally quit hearing about Zogby's polls. Maybe the MSM will admit that his politics influence his polling? Naah, probably not.
Huh? He was within the 3 point margin of error. Polling is not an exact science.
Zogby's final map had EVERY state right, except for Florida (he called it a tie), Iowa, and New Mexico.
Iowa and New Mexco were practically ties.
How is that messing up???? Am I missing something?
Downtown Lad
My Blog
Zogby called Ohio for Kerry, despite having it +2 for Bush.
Zogby might have had everything w/n the margin of error, but when all your predictions are wrong in the same direction, that's not an MoE problem, that's a "your polling sucks" problem.
If the actual outcome was within the margin of error, then the truth is that what his numbers really said was "we have no freakin' CLUE who's going to win", while he was busy saying it would go for Kerry.
Figures can't lie, but liars can "interpret" the figures easily.
On the other hand, I'm going to go out on a limb and extend my thanks to every pollster who told us we were going to be looking at a 2000-style squeaker...the idea that the election might come down to a tiny number of swing votes in one or another state is probably responsible to a great extent for the high turnout. And nobody who's been listening to the polarized factions for the last four years can possibly doubt that it's _turnout_ that won this election, rather than persuasion.
Hi. Isn't this Zogby related to the Zogby who runs various Arab-American Groups? A guy who is advises the Democratic Party?
Am I correct on this?
