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It's Fun to Be Right
Posted by Stephen Green  ·   7 November 2003

Yesterday, concerning Iraq's offer of last-minute concessions to the US, I wrote:

The anti-war folks will tell you this story (if true, although I have no reason to doubt it) startles because we rejected such a generous offer. Surely, they'll claim, the chance of inspections led by the US military and the promise of free elections made avoidable (or at least delay-able) the horrors of war.

Today there's this from the editorial page of the New York Times:

With crucial details unexplored, there is no way of knowing whether war could or should have been avoided, or indeed whether the offer was genuine or what kind of inspections would have been allowed. Any last-minute offer might have been unacceptable, particularly if it meant leaving Saddam Hussein's Baathist torturers in power. Yet surely Washington should have made the effort to learn more.

Didn't take long, did it?

On a similar note, my contest is still open.

Comments

The NY Times has in fact unwittingly proven that Hussein had links with Al Qaeda. After all if it did not how could it promise to hand over the WTC bomber?

So unfortunately your contest is based on a false premise as the NY Times Hussein has had a decade long relationship with Al Qaeda and we know the times wouldn't lie :)

Posted by: Francis at November 7, 2003 03:20 AM

You got 'em, stephen.
Shoulda, Coulda, Woulda...is that all they have left?

Posted by: bj at November 7, 2003 11:25 AM

The person who wrote the news story doesn't understand Arab political culture, which relies on deception, feints, delays, and misdirection.

Why Arabs Lose Wars
http://www.unc.edu/depts/diplomat/AD_Issues/amdipl_17/articles/deatkine_arabs1.html

"These problems notwithstanding, culture does need to be taken into account. Indeed, awareness of prior mistakes should make it possible to assess the role of cultural factors in warfare. John Keegan, the eminent historian of warfare, argues that culture is a prime determinant of the nature of warfare. In contrast to the usual manner of European warfare, which he terms "face to face," Keegan depicts the early Arab armies in the Islamic era as masters of evasion, delay, and indirection. Examining Arab warfare in this century leads to the conclusion that the Arabs remain more successful in insurgent, or political, warfare — what T. E. Lawrence termed "winning wars without battles." Even the much-lauded Egyptian crossing of the Suez in 1973 at its core entailed a masterful deception plan. It may well be that these seemingly permanent attributes result from a culture that engenders subtlety, indirection, and dissimulation in personal relationships."

Posted by: Les Jones at November 7, 2003 12:29 PM

Les, I appreciate the comments, but to avoid confusion, let's not use my blog title in your email address.

Thanks.

Posted by: Stephen Green at November 7, 2003 12:34 PM

Kinda blows the whole "war for oil" argument huh? Of course, I suppose it supports the whole "Bush is a bloodthirsty warmonger" argument. Then again, Bush's opponents have an argument for everything Bush does so the next time he kisses a baby, look for the "Bush is a child molestor" argument.

We still did the right thing. I have doubts about the free-elections promise as well. If Saddam was so ready to give up power, he would have just abdicated and went into exile in a nice quiet French villa instead of getting chased into hiding by laser guided bombs.

Posted by: Mike M at November 8, 2003 08:36 AM

Why wouldn't the Iraqis try to stall?

Remember when they agreed to the much-balley-hooed U-2 overflights? The nxt day there were "technical difficulties and complications relating to air traffic control."

Yes, there are cultural differences. And one feature of Western (or at least American) democracies is that when they get roused, when they have had enough, then they are different creatures from their earlier, accommodating appearances.

Posted by: The Commissar at November 8, 2003 02:29 PM

The real question, which I asked on my weblog, is if the offer were genuine, why not announce it to the UN?

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at November 8, 2003 10:10 PM

After twelve years of stalling and deception we're suddenly supposed to call off everything because they promise Peace in Our Time?

We "should have made an effort to learn more"? Yeah, we would have leared that Saddam is a murderous lying bastard. But we already knew that, didn't we?

Posted by: Bryan C at November 9, 2003 08:23 PM



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